<\/p>\n
On January 30th 2018, we witnessed the truth of Bob Marley\u2019s chant on April 17th 1980 at the birth of the country he named his now famous song after, Zimbabwe. He promised we\u2019d \u201c\u2026know the true revolutionaries<\/em>\u201d and on January 30th 2018, we did.<\/p>\n We honour the Luo Nation.<\/p>\n You have reminded us who we are, the way of men. That all a man is, is his word. No man, now nor in the future will invoke your name in vain. The Luo Nation stood true to it\u2019s pledge. The soldiers torched their ships, not even the Kerr could retreat.<\/p>\n Had the Kikuyu locked their own duplicitous elites, Kibaki et al, in to honouring the infamous \u201cMoU\u201d, the state of politics might be different. Instead they murmured their discontent with the rulers who claimed to speak for them in private conversations and now the territory finds itself where it is. (as it so happens, fate will give them a second chance to redeem themselves soon, or forever be bound by history with their favourite role models, the treacherous Jews).<\/p>\n In the age of cacophonous monotony for music, where clowns and crooners are considered role models, where the heroes of society are men who chase inflated leather skins around a field, cheered on by crowds, in to old age; on January 30th 2018 the Luo Nation reminded us the way of men.<\/p>\n The men of January\u00a030<\/strong><\/p>\n January 30th 2018 was a day of revelation, a day of many truths.<\/p>\n It revealed @CoalitionNASAke to be an illusion, @CoalitionNASAke is a Luo affair. It revealed the hunger for real revolutionary leadership amongst the youth. It revealed that the youth, the men especially are politically activated.<\/p>\n But, most importantly January 30th revealed the metal element in the bones of the Luo Nation. Like Nabii Ismail (as) to his father Nabii Ibrahim (as), the youth of the Luo Nation bravely without blame or moroseness submitted themselves to certain death by the hand of their father. They answered the call. Sadly their father intended to sacrifice them on the altar of Kratos, the demon of strength, might, power and sovereign rule, not their Creator. But fortunately for them their Creator has ultimate authority over all of man\u2019s affairs, and it was not to be a day of sacrifice.<\/p>\n But nevertheless for this act of submission to a purpose and cause higher than themselves, we must pay homage to the Luo Nation, the Men of January 30.<\/p>\n In this age of godlessness, where all have succumbed to the seduction of western hedonism and instant gratification, the Luo Nation is a jewel, for it\u2019s warrior remains alive.<\/p>\n Only two nations on the Somalian plate are capable of lifting the yoke of imperialism upon the necks of the tribes, the Somali and the Luo Nation. The Somali have joined the Kikuyu in the Church of Mammon, becoming the hand of the Imperialist oppressor. Hope now rests with the Luo Nation. We must wake the Luo Nation up to it\u2019s true potential and the urgency of this overarching undertaking. And to wake them up, we must first of necessity open the Luo Nation\u2019s eyes to the duplicity, incompetence and bankruptcy of the current Kerr, Raila Amolo Odinga (from here-on RAO).<\/p>\n In Bob Marley\u2019s words we must not allow \u201cour people to be tricked by mercenaries.\u201d<\/p>\n The Mercenary<\/strong><\/p>\n [30\/01\/18] NASA leader Raila Odinga swears by the bible at Uhuru Park grounds in Nairobi Credit: CAPITAL\u00a0FM<\/p>\n RAO can neither govern nor rule nor is he interested in governing nor ruling. This is what is important. Not his personal duplicity which is now well documented in \u201cPeeling back the Mask\u201d by Miguna Miguna, not any of his personal flaws. A ruler is judged for who he is in office and not who he is in private.<\/p>\n It would also not be a problem if his lack of ability could be veiled, but the Swahili teach us \u201cmwanaharamu hafichiki\u201d. In English, the illegitimate child cannot be concealed, they will always reveal themselves. And true to the wise, during his stint as Prime Minister in a moment that is unforgettable, RAO revealed his complete ignorance of the essence of ruling and governance in his cry to the masses about the state of his outhouse. Betraying that even a simple administrative matter for his protocol office was beyond him.<\/p>\n While RAO\u2019s \u201canti-Kikuyu hegemony forty one against one\u201d rhetoric has borne fruit in consolidating his base, it will be insufficient going forward. Given the appetite for revolution the Luo Nation has shown, they can lead against the Master and not the \u201cHouse Negro\u201d. The comprador ruling elite of Kikuyu ethnicity are the face of the oppressive system, Capitalist Imperialism, not the system itself. The Kikuyu too and their elites are in need of liberation and \u201cthe Kikuyu hegemony\u201d narrative has succeeded in blinding even intellectuals to the plight of the ordinary Kikuyus who lost their land during Kenyatta rule, and have lived in abject poverty and occupation under all the other Governments.<\/p>\n We have said in earlier writing Ramogi and Gikuyu in an election will always double down on their brigand sons<\/a>, but that is because in an election contest wherein the population is an amalgam of tribes with no ideological bearing, the political rivalry will inevitably be organized around the powerful instinctive divisions of the populace, tribe in Kenya, clan in Somalia, race in America.<\/p>\n These divisions as powerful levers to \u201cDivide to Rule\u201d, serve all the elite well.<\/p>\n But of interest to us here, is now that the Men of January 30 showed themselves worthy of the ultimate prize, is RAO the man to lead them to glory?<\/p>\n What would Raila Amolo Odinga need to take the\u00a0Centre?<\/strong><\/p>\n We are beyond Elections or any Constitutional means to ascend to power. RAO has lost his religion. He has apostatized Democracy and Constitutionalism.<\/p>\n \u201cConstitution my foot!\u201d.<\/p>\n He also has no message beyond \u201cKikuyus are the problem\u201d packaged as \u201cElectoral autocracy\u201d and \u201cI want my turn\u201d packaged as \u201cElectoral justice\u201d. In other words, he has no idea. Democracy\u2019s true nature has been revealed and can no longer be used to capture all the tribes\u2019 imaginations. Democracy is now known to simply be a method for the strong to legitimize their power over the weak. \u201cDemocracy\u201d is now understood to be whatever the elites decide it is, whenever they decide.<\/p>\n RAO is now only left with realpolitik.<\/p>\n Begging the question, what combination of entities and institutions does he need to dislodge the centre? In less subtle terms, what does RAO need to orchestrate a coup d\u2019etat?<\/p>\n This is not libel, RAO has made no secret of his intent. RAO promised his supporters an \u201cEmmerson Mnangagwa\u201d style of coup. But RAO will never win the prize of President, not for lack of support, not for lack of opportunity, not for lack of fortune but as above for the lack of awareness. As the reader can see RAO does not understand that the time to orchestrate that type of coup was when he was Prime Minister under the weakest, most frail and aged President ever to govern in the region. It was then that he was supposed to build alliances, consolidate power, seize institutions (for instance impose himself as chair of the National Security Council) endear himself to tribal elites. Instead he betrayed his generals and alienated the government he led. An \u201cEmmerson Mnangagwa\u201d style of coup requires supreme patience, building of confidence and trust through painstakingly slow diplomacy that happens in the shadows. It is delicate and dangerous, completely without the rock-star reward of the chanting crowd in the glare of floodlights.<\/p>\n We began by stating without qualification, RAO will only ever be Tribal Chief, never Chief of the Tribes or if you prefer \u201cPresident\u201d.<\/p>\n Now we qualify.<\/strong><\/p>\n Given RAO has abandoned the illusion of rechtsstaat and has no call, what combination of entities and institutions would he need to seize the Centre?<\/p>\n Absolutely simplified, there are three important levels of play, the international state space, the nation-state level\u200a\u2014\u200awhich for \u201cKenya\u201d is more correctly client pseudo-state, and the state institution space.<\/p>\n In the international state space a client-state putchist requires a suzerain sponsor primarily for political cover. RAO has been the United States Government \u201cman on the spot\u201d, making no secret of it. Fund raising in the US and meeting with US politicians multiples of times on multiple tours that were widely covered in the local press. The United States Government since Ambassador Smith Hempstone has been the primary benefactor of the political opposition in Kenya. Suzerain backing though vital is not sufficient as will be explained later. Suzerain backing tools the comprador for the \u201cneighbourhood fight\u201d, rarely does the suzerain fight for his comprador directly.<\/p>\n To win the neighbourhood fight the comprador then needs to assemble a \u201cwinning tribal coalition\u201d before capturing the vital instruments of power in the institution space. This is where we submit RAO\u2019s Achilles heel reveals itself, he is his own greatest enemy. In 2008, Prime Minister RAO like \u201cMacbeth\u201d drunk with power, spite and fear of loss betrayed his comrade at arms \u201cBanquo\u201d William Samoei Ruto dispatching the Political assassin, the International Criminal Court Prosecutor Professor Moreno Ocampo to solve the \u201cfuture\u201d problem before it became a present problem for him. It was at this moment in the year 2008 that we submit RAO lost all future elections, because he over-estimated his own popularity in a territory that suffers a lower order of Otto von Bismark\u2019s 3 out of 5 problem. Given that Europe in the 19th Century had five powers Germany, Britain, France, Austria and Russia he understood \u201cthe importance of being a party of three on the European chessboard\u201d that determined the winning tribal coalition in the formation of alliances. Germany had to be in 3 of the 5. It\u2019s safety lay in ensuring it never got caught on the losing side. Given its geographical position at the centre, it was going to be at the front-line of any war and if the dice fell wrong it would be in the middle, making this according to scholars Otto von Bismark\u2019s worst nightmare. A war where Germany had to confront Russia and France at the same time. RAO in 2008 played himself out of the two thirds, in to the one third. As in the Kenya territory\u2019s current configuration the tribes of power are primarily three, the Kikuyus\u200a\u2014\u200aBritain\u2019s core pillar, the Kalenjin\u200a\u2014\u200athe King makers, and the Luo\u200a\u2014\u200aAmerica\u2019s arrogating surrogate. Raila made possible what was thought impossible after the Kiambaa Church Massacre in the Rift Valley where dozens of Kikuyu women and children were burnt alive at the height of the 2007 post-election violence. He managed to create a marriage of convenience between the Kikuyu and Kalenjin as they worked together to rescue their brigand sons from perceived imperialism, giving rise to an unbeatable political coalition which has successfully managed to keep him on outside since. All efforts to divide and rule the coalition have born no fruit and all indications are they will bear none now and in the future. Nothing but failure awaits him down this road.<\/p>\n RAO still has United States Government (USG here-on) suzerain support. He does not have the two out of three tribal coalition necessary to de-centre the territory like he did in the year 2007, but what opportunity exists in layer three? The Institutions layer?<\/p>\n Coup d\u2019Etat<\/strong><\/p>\n According to Adnan Khan\u2019s recent treatise on Coup d\u2019Etat \u201cMaking Sense of Coups\u201d, the social order of the Kenya territory is such that it would require the coup to be a \u201ccoup by election\u201d rather than a \u201ccoup by battle\u201d. \u201cCoup by election\u201d here implying a referendum among the elites on whether to support RAO or Uhuru Muigai Kenyatta (from here-on UMK), not universal suffrage.<\/p>\n In his bid to compel this \u201celection\u201d, RAO would need to first completely control public information. Second make his dejure \u201cPeople\u2019s Presidency\u201d a defacto \u201cExecutive Presidency\u201d by creating the illusion of it\u2019s inevitability. Third suborn or coerce Parliament into submission. The fourth, final and most vital prong of the entire initiative\u200a\u2014\u200aco-option of the vital fraction of the National Security Council, without which all the other prongs will either be ineffectual or easy to roll back.<\/p>\n To control public information, unlike in the past when all putchists needed do was to capture the state\u2019s only public broadcast station, today\u2019s information infrastructure in a complex information ecosystem like Kenya would require the support of a combination of key business elites and total seizure of the behemoth Safaricom. This avenue is barely even worth exploring given that the Government on January 30th 2018 in a live security operation proved to us all that it is now impossible for a Government to fully control information flow. A massive effort was made to censor, by a Government in power and it failed miserably. Estimates indicate over a hundred thousand people watched the mock swearing-in streamed live online. In other analyses in this publication we have qualified Safaricom as a supranational body that cannot be controlled or regulated by national institutions. The Government of Kenya (GoK here-on) could easily have chocked off the Internet at it\u2019s fibre-optic termination point in Mombasa, but even this would have been inconsequential as the telcos would have failed over to satellite backup. RAO cannot therefore achieve control of public information in a situation as fluid as a coup where a Government fully in control was unable to. And this failure by the GoK to strangle communication for the public should not in anyway be an indictment on it\u2019s competence, the USG is unsuccessfully struggling with the same problem. The Internet is it\u2019s Frankenstein Monster.<\/p>\n The other three depend on the fourth. To create a strong illusion of his inevitability, compel submission of Parliament and prevent a military rout of his leadership by any of the security services requires him to successfully coot key members of the National Security Council, a f\u00eate that is impossible given his reputation for political betrayal and the infamy of his personal duplicity. Whichever way a rational, expedient politician or administrator games it, there is no scenario in which a RAO \u201cPresidency\u201d would be worth the risk by any member of the National Security Council. Supporting RAO risks personal loss on the slim chance he wins as William Samoei Ruto learnt and guarantees it when he loses.<\/p>\n Now, the above only analyses RAO\u2019s side of the chessboard. There is no discussion of what obstacles he would have to surmount in an all out onslaught against the centre assuming he somehow overcame his own limits.<\/p>\n How is the centre structured?<\/strong><\/p>\n Here again, RAO suffers another blind-spot.<\/p>\n UMK many fail to understand is only genealogically Kikuyu. UMK\u2019s sociological father is not Gikuyu, it is Gikuyu\u2019s master and owner, Imperial Britain. UMK is no more Kikuyu than Queen Elizabeth is English. Queen Elizabeth is actually German. She is Queen Elizabeth of Saxe-Coburg-Gotha. They changed their houses name to Windsor in 1917 to make it more palatable to the English public whose sons she\u2019d send to war against the sons of the citizen\u2019s of her husband King George V\u2019s first cousin German Kaiser Wilhelm II. Just like Johnstone Kamau became Jomo Kenyatta to enter the class that has no tribe, no colour, only interests, imperial interests. This is evidenced by his complete lack of interest in the plight of ordinary Kikuyus. Was he a Kikuyu chief, the plight of the Kikuyus locally and around the world would be his concern, the prostitution of Kikuyu women in Nanyuki, humiliation by perverts masquerading as tourists\u2026the littany of untenable crimes of British citizens against his tribe would have moved him to act but he only moved when British occupiers were threatened by a tribal revanche, which he used the army to quell.<\/p>\n UMK is only in terms of legal process an elected leader, he is in reality an enthroned prince. He has on many occasions, true to his characteristic sincerity confessed this to the public, but been largely misunderstood. Saying roughly something to the effect \u201celecting me or not electing me to office will have no significant impact on my life\u2026\u201d. Yes, this is actually correct. UMK\u2019s power does not come from the number of votes he gets in an election, his power comes from his hectarage. He is part of the land aristocracy the British created in all their colonies to protect their empire. Land is a source of power. Because Capitalism is materialistic, it\u2019s criterion is property (capital), as such hectarage (the amount of land one owns) is directly proportional to the power they wield within the territory and population. Just like in a public liability company, the number of shares one owns is directly proportional to the power they wield over the company. That is why Bob Collymore\u2019s oft repeated statement that \u201cI serve over 55,000 shareholders\u201d was cynical tongue-in-cheek deception. Bob Collymore served the majority shareholders, Vodafone\/Vodacom. So too will any elected President in power serve the major land owners. Remember Philip Murgor as Director of Public Prosecutions flew to Nakuru to enter a nolle prosequi<\/em> for the human game-hunting colonizer now late serial killer Tom Chomondeley. He was acting on behalf of the \u201ctrue\u201d citizen. Land is the true source of the Kenyatta family\u2019s power, alter the land tenure system and they become plebeians, and this was why Beth Mugo famously declared \u201cThe Title-Deed is sacrosanct<\/em>\u201d. Inviolable. She used a religious term because it is their article of faith, the true basis of the Kenyatta family identity and it\u2019s power. It is their religion.<\/p>\n UMK does not need to be \u201celected President\u201d to exercise \u201cPresidential\u201d scale power for his personal benefit. Thus his statement, \u201celecting me is of consequence to you, not me\u201d.<\/p>\n And it is this characteristic, that RAO has to contend with in any assault against the centre. RAO has to rip the map of KENYA-tta.<\/p>\n